I believe Ukraine will be a member of the European Union within ten years.
The latest poll shows 64% of Ukrainians favor joining the E.U., with support for membership in the European Union growing each year since Russia’s 2014 illegal annexation of Ukrainian Crimea and its ongoing frozen war in the Ukrainian east, which has led to 13,000 Ukrainian deaths.
The country is already well on its way toward membership.
Currently, the Ukraine-European Union Association Agreement establishes a political and economic association between Ukraine and the E.U. The agreement, a preliminary step toward E.U. membership, commits Ukraine and the E.U. to co-operate in the areas of legislation, economic policies, and regulation across a broad range of areas, including equal rights for workers, visa-free movement of people, the exchange of information and staff in the area of justice, the modernization of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, and access to the European Investment Bank.
The agreement commits Ukraine to economic, judicial, and financial reforms to bring its policies and legislation in line with those of the European Union. Ukraine will adopt EU technical and consumer standards, while the EU agrees to provide Ukraine with political and financial support, access to research and knowledge, and preferential access to EU markets.
Ukraine and the EU are also working toward a gradual convergence of common security and defense policies.
In addition, the European Parliament passed a resolution recognizing Ukraine’s right to “apply to become a Member of the Union, provided that it adheres to the principles of democracy, respects fundamental freedoms and human and minority rights, and ensures the rule of law.”
Ukraine could apply for membership as early as 2023.